Home Run Betting Predictions 5/5

For Friday, May 5th

The explanation of how this works is here: Baseball Home Run Betting.

That’s more like it

Year-to-Date: 29/228 (16.5% profit)

Last 7 days: 3/51 (-32.9%)

Yesterday: 1/3 (286.7%)

• Riley Greene (+1060)

Today’s Early Morning Edges

• Orioles at Braves: LHP Max Fried

  • James McCann (+870, 1% edge at 12.46% chance vs 11.49% book odds)

  • Ramon Urias (+1000, 2.2% edge at 12.25% chance vs 10% book odds)

• Cubs vs Marlins: RHP Edward Cabrera

  • Patrick Wisdom (+340, 2% edge at 31.39% chance vs 29.41% book odds)

• Tigers at Cardinals: LHP Jordan Montgomery

  • Riley Greene (+1300, 0.9% edge at 8.62% chance vs 7.69% book odds)

• Astros at Mariners: RHP Luis Castillo

  • Jose Abreu (+830, 0.8% edge at 12.86% chance vs 12.05% book odds)

  • Martin Maldonado (+900, 1.1% edge at 12.2% chance vs 11.11% book odds)

• Dodgers at Padres: RHP Yu Darvish

  • James Outman (+750, 4.3% edge at 17.62% chance vs 13.33% book odds)

  • Miguel Vargas (+900, 0.9% edge at 11.97% chance vs 11.11% book odds)

• Marlins at Cubs: LHP Justin Steele

  • Bryan De La Cruz (+680, 2.9% edge at 17.64% chance vs 14.71% book odds)

  • Jacob Stallings (+1000, 2.2% edge at 12.19% chance vs 10% book odds)

  • Jean Segura (+900, 0.6% edge at 11.7% chance vs 11.11% book odds)

  • Yuli Gurriel (+1000, 3.2% edge at 13.23% chance vs 10% book odds)

• Phillies vs Red Sox: LHP Chris Sale

  • Alec Bohm (+830, 0.9% edge at 12.93% chance vs 12.05% book odds)

  • Edmundo Sosa (+1000, 0.2% edge at 10.23% chance vs 10% book odds)

• Mariners vs Astros: RHP Cristian Javier

  • JP Crawford (+1300, 0.2% edge at 7.9% chance vs 7.69% book odds)

Today’s Highest Predictions

1. Patrick Wisdom - CHC, 31.39% (vs Marlins, RHP Edward Cabrera)

2. Mike Trout - LAA, 27.95% (vs Rangers, RHP Dane Dunning)

3. Jorge Soler - MIA, 25.96% (at Cubs, LHP Justin Steele)

4. Kyle Schwarber - PHI, 21.54% (vs Red Sox, LHP Chris Sale)

5. Austin Riley - ATL, 20.59% (vs Orioles, RHP Dean Kremer)

Today’s Sheet

Yesterday’s Highest Predictions with Results

1. Mike Trout - LAA, 25.34% (at Cardinals, RHP Jack Flaherty) - did not play

2. Byron Buxton - MIN, 22.25% (at White Sox, RHP Lucas Giolito) - HR! (+280)

3. CJ Cron - COL, 20.05% (vs Brewers, LHP Wade Miley) - no homer

4. Rowdy Tellez - MIL, 19.61% (at Rockies, RHP Connor Seabold) - HR! (+330)

5. William Contreras - MIL, 19.53% (at Rockies, RHP Connor Seabold) - did not play