4/20/23 Home Run Bets

The explanation of how this works is here: Baseball Home Run Betting.

Update: I’ve decided to make two categories just above the spreadsheet. First are the 5 highest odds for players. And second are the players that have an edge as of this morning on FanDuel. The only disclaimer is that these are using odds well before lineups are submitted, so you’d want to check and make sure they’re in the lineup before betting. Getting stuck with a player on a rest day who then pinch hits and loses the bet is rough.

Year-to-Date: 17/99 (44.1% profit)

Last 7 days: 5/29 (32.4%)

Yesterday: 0/5 (-100.0%)

Today’s Highest Predictions

1. Aaron Judge - NYY, 28.50% (vs Angels, LHP Patrick Sandoval)

2. Kyle Schwarber - PHI, 28.11% (vs Rockies, RHP Ryan Feltner)

3. Patrick Wisdom - CHC, 26.62% (vs Dodgers, RHP Michael Grove)

4. Mike Trout - LAA, 25.38% (at Yankees, LHP Nestor Cortes)

5. Byron Buxton - MIN, 21.93% (at Red Sox, RHP Tanner Houck)

Today’s Sheet

Yesterday’s Highest Predictions with Results

1. Kyle Schwarber - PHI, 27.59% (at White Sox, RHP Mike Clevinger) - No homer

2. Byron Buxton - MIN, 24.71% (at Red Sox, RHP Corey Kluber) - No homer

3. Matt Chapman - TOR, 22.74% (at Astros, RHP Luis Garcia) - No homer

4. Jake Burger - CHW, 22.11% (vs Phillies, RHP Taijuan Walker) - No homer

5. Trayce Thompson - LAD, 21.84% (vs Mets, RHP Max Scherzer) - Did not start