4/17/23 Home Run Bets

The explanation of how this works is here: Baseball Home Run Betting.

Update: I’ve decided to make two categories just above the spreadsheet. First are the 5 highest odds for players. And second are the players that have an edge as of this morning on FanDuel. The only disclaimer is that these are using odds well before lineups are submitted, so you’d want to check and make sure they’re in the lineup before betting. Getting stuck with a player on a rest day who then pinch hits and loses the bet is rough.

Year-to-Date: 16/88 (48.5% profit)

Last 7 days: 8/35 (89.7%)

Yesterday: 1/7 (4.3%)

• Chris Taylor (+630)

Today’s Highest Odds

1. Kyle Schwarber - PHI, 29.11% (at Chicago White Sox, RHP Lance Lynn)

2. Luke Raley - TB, 23.11% (at Cincinnati Reds, RHP Hunter Greene)

3. Jake Burger - CHW, 22.54% (vs Philadelphia Phillies, RHP Zack Wheeler)

4. Trayce Thompson - LAD, 22.32% (vs New York Mets, RHP David Peterson)

5. Matt Chapman - TOR, 22.04% (at Houston Astros, RHP Cristian Javier)

This Morning’s Bets

• Jon Berti - MIA (listed at +1400, break-even odds are +1260)

• Michael Massey- KC (listed at +1200, break-even odds are +1060)

• Trayce Thompson - LAD (listed at +800, break-even odds are +450)

• Tomas Nido - NYM (listed at +1060, break-even odds are +930)

• J.D. Davis - SF (listed at +600, break-even odds are +580)

• Tommy Edman - STL (listed at +1000, break-even odds are +870)

Today’s Sheet